As we calculate the xG for articles like this and this we can easily calculate the number of chances a team has had and conceded, but more importantly the quality of those chances. A team who gave away 2 penalities and let a team have 4 shots from inside the box probably has more defensive frailties than a side who restricted a team to 6 long rangers. Especially if they’ve done this for the last 5 matches
This is therefore apparently the best “form” metric to use, just ask Brentford’s chairman who was a pioneer and won enough to buy two football clubs. Here’s one of many articles mentioning it
I wanted to calculate this metric for every fixture in the UK and use it to decide my own accumulators. I then thought I would share it too. The visualisation is awful, but a blue dot further right means a home win is more likely. A dot nearer zero means a draw is more likely and a left dot means the away team has better form
It’s the beauty of football unpredictability though that you can be Chelsea away at Barnsley in the FA cup, batter them but still lose.
It makes it messy, but the odds (as of last night) are also listed, showing how much you’ll get back for each pound you put on

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Gamble responsibly! Don’t even the best tipsters only make around 5% over a large amount of bets, so make sure you are doing it for fun!!!